Some calculations I did following last weekends games, on likely finals makeup;
Penrith - likely finish 1st, possible 2nd unlikely 3rd.
Win both games and the minor premiership is ours, Brisbane play Melbourne prior to our game against the Cowboys so we will know before the game if we can take it easy. Loose both the games, Brisbane win against the storm, and Warriors win both games and we finish 3rd.
Brisbane - likely 2nd, possible 1st, unlikely 3rd. Similar to us, although for/against puts us in more favorable position. Tough last round game against the Storm.
Warriors - likely 3rd, possible 4th or 2nd, unlikely 5th. The real smokies of the finals. 2 easy games of Dragons (Home) and Dolphins (away).
Storm - Likely 4th, possible 5th or 3rd, unlikely 6th or 7th. Games against Titan and Brisbane. Final standing will result on other games. If they only win 1/2, they will battle for 4th with Cronulla and Raiders.
Cronulla possible 4th, 5th or 6th, unlikely 3rd, 7th or 8th. Tough games against Raiders and Knights. As with Raiders, Knights and Storm will likely make up positions 4-7 based on their and other team results.
Raiders likely 7th, possible 5th or 6th unlikely 4th or 8th. Poor form, terrible for and against, and hard games, how far they fall (presuming they loose to the Broncos) will depend on other games.
Knights likely 6th, possible anything from 5th to 7th. Unlikely 4th, 8th or 9th 10th. Tough game against the sharks who are fighting for 4th spot, 3 point gap to 8th spot. Would need to loose both games then have other results go against them to drop out of 8.
Souths likely 9th or 10th, possible 8th or 11th, unlikely 7th. The bye comes at a bad time for Souths, as the can’t improve for and against. Play Roosters last round which may decide 8th spot. Likely to miss the finals.
Roosters likely 8th or 9th, possible7th, 10th or 11th. Easy game against the Tigers will set up a showdown with Souths, likely a battle for 8th spot.
Cowboys - don’t write them off just yet. Easy game against the dolphins, then a last round showdown against us. Win both and they would likely leapfrog Souths to finish 8th, and with other Results could see the roosters in 7th. Our final round could either be us playing for the minor premiership and/or the cowboys playing for a spot in the finals.
Eels - impossible to play finals even if the beat us by 300 points, as they have a bye last round (meaning they can’t improve for and against), however as Souths and Easts play last round, even a draw between those two would make the eels finish at best in 9th spot, which is highly unlikely.
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