My take on it is that the ‘win 50% +1’ rule of thumb gives us needing to win 11 games in total. We’ve won 2, so 9 more out of remaining 18 required.
There are no byes, as SOO will be post season, so no 2 points for a bye distorting the numbers.
If we can’t do that ie win 9 from 18, then we wouldn’t earn/deserve a spot.
Going to be interesting to see the draw, and how it will be modified, seemingly on the run, if any team(s) ‘go down’ for a period due to a positive Covid test result for a player or staff.
Seems they may minimize the number of grounds used to provide greater control, so maybe just ANZ, Bankwest & Penrith in Sydney?? Be extra cruel for the fans if a lot of games are played at our home, and we can’t attend!!
Surely in the remaining games, adult staff, suitably isolated will be used as ballboys instead of the wildcard of using kids who are going to school and socializing outside of the footy bubble.